Mercavelo Research

We track and analyse price movements across energy, metals, agricultural and industrial raw materials on a continuous basis. Our pricing models draw on primary trade data, futures markets and supply-chain indicators to deliver granular, defensible benchmarks. Clients use our price data to negotiate contracts, set procurement budgets and assess counterparty quotes.

Our trade intelligence platform monitors import and export flows across more than 80 commodity categories and 140 countries, identifying shifts in demand patterns before they reach mainstream visibility. We map trade corridors, tariff changes and regulatory developments that directly affect your sourcing and sales routes. This enables your team to anticipate supply constraints and capitalise on emerging opportunities ahead of competitors.

Mercavelo Research produces short, medium and long-term forecasts for key commodity markets, grounded in quantitative models and sector expertise. Our forecasts are published with transparent methodology and explicit confidence ranges, so clients understand not just the outlook but the uncertainty around it. Regular forecast updates ensure your planning assumptions stay aligned with evolving market realities.

Beyond standard reports, we develop bespoke research programmes tailored to the specific commodities, geographies and business questions that matter most to your organisation. Engagements range from one-off deep-dive studies to ongoing advisory retainers that integrate our analysts directly into your decision-making process. Every engagement is scoped to deliver actionable outputs, not just information.

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Every data point we publish carries a clear source attribution and methodology note, so clients can audit our work and defend our findings internally. We do not smooth inconvenient data or anchor forecasts to consensus — our value lies in honest, independent analysis. This rigour has made Mercavelo Research a trusted reference for procurement committees and risk management functions.

Our research team combines backgrounds in commodity trading, supply chain management, economics and geopolitical analysis, giving each report a multi-disciplinary depth that generalist providers cannot match. We understand how physical markets operate, how logistics costs affect landed prices and how policy decisions translate into price movements at the producer level. This expertise is what separates insight from information.

Research is only valuable if it arrives before a decision must be made. We structure our deliverables around client decision cycles, with alert services for rapid price movements, monthly reports for strategic planning and quarterly briefings for executive review. Our formats are designed to be read and acted upon quickly, without sacrificing analytical depth.

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Purchasing managers and category buyers rely on Mercavelo Research to benchmark supplier quotes, time contract renewals and anticipate input cost pressures well before they materialise. Our commodity-specific dashboards let procurement professionals monitor the markets most relevant to their categories in a single, consolidated view. We help procurement functions move from reactive buying to proactive, data-driven sourcing strategy.

Trading desks use our price differentials, trade flow data and short-term forecasts to identify arbitrage opportunities and manage exposure across commodity positions. We provide the contextual intelligence — shipping costs, port congestion, seasonal supply patterns — that is essential for evaluating the true economics of a trade. Our timely alerts are calibrated to the fast-moving needs of active trading operations.

Strategy teams and risk officers engage Mercavelo Research to stress-test procurement assumptions, model commodity price scenarios and understand the geopolitical risks embedded in their supply chains. Our long-term outlooks and scenario analyses provide the structured thinking needed for capital allocation decisions, supplier diversification programmes and board-level risk reporting. We translate complex market dynamics into clear strategic implications.

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